Trading Strategy

1. Draw a trend line: daily chart to determine the trend whether is uptrend or downtrend (Draw from bottom to bottom or vice verse) and also a horizontal line to watch out a breakout(This strategy like reflexivity from George Soros).
2. Please do remember to lock your PROFIT before you get lose. Always follow the rule & discipline.
3. Money management is the most important for double or triple up your profit.
4. Don't get lost emotion while you in losing or winning. Must always remember where are you and what should you do in this situation. Let the profit keep running or cut lost.

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Tuesday, October 13, 2009

What is Fundamental Analysis

What is Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental analysis is the process of looking at a business at the basic or fundamental financial level. This type of analysis examines key ratios of a business to determine its financial health and gives you an idea of the value its stock.

Many investors use fundamental analysis alone or in combination with other tools to evaluate stocks for investment purposes. The goal is to determine the current worth and, more importantly, how the market values the stock.

Earnings
It’s all about earnings. When you come to the bottom line, that’s what investors want to know. How much money is the company making and how much is it going to make in the future.

Earnings are profits. It may be complicated to calculate, but that’s what buying a company is about. Increasing earnings generally leads to a higher stock price and, in some cases, a regular dividend.

When earnings fall short, the market may hammer the stock. Every quarter, companies report earnings. Analysts follow major companies closely and if they fall short of projected earnings, sound the alarm.

While earnings are important, by themselves they don’t tell you anything about how the market values the stock. To begin building a picture of how the stock is valued you need to use some fundamental analysis tools.

Fundamental Analysis Tools
These are the most popular tools of fundamental analysis. They focus on earnings, growth, and value in the market.

Earnings per Share – EPS
Price to Earnings Ratio – P/E
Projected Earning Growth – PEG
Price to Sales – P/S
Price to Book – P/B
Dividend Payout Ratio
Dividend Yield
Book Value
Return on Equity


No single number from this list is a magic bullet that will give you a buy or sell recommendation by itself, however as you begin developing a picture of what you want in a stock, these numbers will become benchmarks to measure the worth of potential investments.

P/E Ratio = Stock Price / Earnings Per Share
(The P/E ratio, which is also referred to as an earnings multiple, is a core measure of a company's stock price in relation to its earnings.)
just went through this page & one thing i noticed that you all did not interpreted the P/E ratio properly

the actual is MktPrice/EPS


So when is MPS is high youe PE will also be hign so if high levels of speculation exists in any stocks like it happened penny stocks then PE is USELESS...

Fundamentals are associated with the economic health of a company, measured in terms of revenues, earnings, assets, liabilities, Return on Equity (ROE), Return on Assets (ROA), Return on Investments (ROI), growth prospects and cash flows, etc. The fundamentals tell you about a company. You can say a company is having robust fundamentals if it is growing at a nice pace, generating a profit, has limited debts and abundant cash.


The analysis of a company's fundamentals involves getting deep into its financials, rather than day-to-day movement in its share price. Equity researchers normally do fundamental analysis in order to calculate the intrinsic value of a company's stock. If a company's stock is trading above the intrinsic value or fair value, then the stock is overvalued. If a company's stock is trading below the intrinsic value, then the stock is undervalued. However, if you watch the stock markets very closely, the share price of most companies never matches the fair value. Often, day traders and investors who would prefer short term investment options invest in those stocks, regardless of the companies' long term growth prospects. However, long term investors generally prefer to invest in companies with robust fundamentals and ignore near-term share price movements.

The following are various components that constitute a company's fundamentals:

Revenues: Revenues (sales) are the total amount of money received by a company through the sales of its goods and services during a specific period of time. Revenues are one of the most important barometers of the growth of a company as it indicates whether there is demand for their products and services.

Cash flows: Cash flows are calculated by deducting a company's cash payments from cash receipts over a particular period of time. Cash flows indicate the liquidity position of a company. However, one must pay particular attention to the operating cash flows, since the health of the business can be most clearly seen there.

Net income: Net income, which is also called the 'bottom line', is calculated by subtracting from revenue, all of the company's costs, such as operating costs, interest expenses, depreciation, taxes and other expenses associated with running the business.

Balance Sheet: Balance sheet is the company's financial statement, which reflects its assets and liabilities. A company's fundamentals are said to be robust if its assets are significantly higher than the liabilities. However, one must carefully analyze companies who are reporting large intangible assets as they may have questionable liquidation value to offset any real liabilities.

Return on Assets (ROA): ROA is an Indicator of a company's profitability, which is calculated by dividing the net income for the past 12 months by total average assets of the company. This is one of the important indicators, which long-term investors consider before investing into a particular stock.

Although long-term investors and institutional investors consider a company's fundamentals before investing, the share price of a company often does not correspond to the fundamentals - which can present enormous investment opportunities. A company's long-term growth is driven primarily by fundamentals, while a company's share price can be driven by short-term news and investor sentiment, which can be extremely volatile. Every investor must consider a company's fundamentals before investing into its stock if you want to gain stable returns over the long term.

Price to Earnings Ratio – P/E
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/...ningsratio.asp

Projected Earning Growth – PEG
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pegratio.asp

Price to Sales – P/S
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/...salesratio.asp

Price to Book – P/B
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/...-bookratio.asp

Dividend Payout Ratio
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/...ayoutratio.asp

Dividend Yield
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/...ayoutratio.asp

Book Value

Return on Equity
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/returnonequity.asp

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